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GDP vs Sensex — An Interesting Reality
For years, experts have often said that “when the economy grows, the stock market grows.” But the numbers around the last three Independence Days tell us a more interesting story.
India’s GDP has increased from
₹295.36 lakh crore i
n 2024 to ₹346.36 lakh crore in 2026 — a rise of nearly
17%. Yet the Sensex has moved from
79,105 in
August 2024 to
78,009 in August 2026.
This shows that GDP growth alone does not determine stock-market performance.
The Sensex is influenced by several factors — corporate earnings, valuations, interest rates, liquidity, foreign investor flows, inflation, global markets and geopolitical risks, apart from the overall health of the Indian economy.
So, a growing economy does not automatically mean a rising Sensex. The economy and the stock market are connected, but they are not the same thing.